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electablog*, 10/31/2004; 12:50:03 AM

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 Take Your Jihad and Shove It. It turns out that if you look at the polls and listen to what people are saying, that Osama tape thankfully won't be having any discernable impact on the election. Even the world's most wanted man has seen his role reduced to merely confirming the dug-in
 How Deep is Your Love (Or Hate)?. Here's an interesting stat, especially if you feel (as Josh Marshall and R.W. Apple do) that this election will come down to turnout and the enthusiasm surrounding the get out the vote efforts. - 37% of those who support Kerry say this is the most impo

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Boston, Massachusetts Weather, 10/31/2004; 12:40:03 AM

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 Current Weather - 61F Overcast. 61F Overcast

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Talking Points Memo: by Joshua Micah Marshall, 10/31/2004; 12:40:02 AM

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 As I wrote.... As I wrote early Saturday evening, the third day before the election showed the balance of tracking polls moving for Kerry, with one national poll (Fox) trending to Kerry and another (Newsweek) trending to Bush. For what it's worth, the...

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washingtonpost.com - 2004 Election, 10/31/2004; 12:40:02 AM

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 Congressional Hopeful Hurt Fleeing Blaze. A congressional candidate's house burned down early Friday, and he broke his knee jumping from the second floor. By .

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The Left Coaster, 10/31/2004; 12:30:03 AM

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 California Voting. Californians are often presented with daunting ballots and this year is no exception. Besides figuring out who to vote for President, Senate, Congress, Assembly, school board, judicial, community college board, etc., Californians are asked to weigh in on 16 state...

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The Command Post - 2004 US Presidential Election, 10/31/2004; 12:20:01 AM

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 New Democrat 527 Video. Another not-serious look at the US Elections. At least, I think it’s not-serious. You can never tell, when OBL is on tape channelling Michael Moore, parotting parts of the Democrat Platform, and pleading to “live and let live”. A Minneapolis-based...

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Talking Points Memo: by Joshua Micah Marshall, 10/31/2004; 12:00:03 AM

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 Why did President.... Why did President Bush get Tommy Franks working on Iraq war planning while bin Laden was still holed up at Tora Bora? Good question. But here's an helpful timeline....

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TalkLeft: The Politics of Crime, 10/30/2004; 11:50:03 PM

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 GOP's Grip on Florida Loosening. Three signs that the Republicans don't have the advantage in Florida they think they have-- Betty Castor is inching ahead of Mel Martinez in the Senate race. The Cuban-American vote is no sure thing. Kerry squeaks ahead of Bush in...

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Pacific Views, 10/30/2004; 11:50:01 PM

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 Need time off work to vote against Dubya on Tuesday?. Thirty US states have laws requiring employers to give workers time off to go to the polls. A list, with details, is here. It's interesting to note that neither Florida, Michigan, nor Pennsyslvania — three of the biggest swing states...

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Lost Remote, 10/30/2004; 11:40:01 PM

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 All laughs about terror. Forgive me, but Saturday night's home page on CNN was a little funny......

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TalkLeft: The Politics of Crime, 10/30/2004; 11:40:00 PM

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 Rolling Stone Interview with John Kerry. Rolling Stone editor Jann Wenner spent two days in October with the Kerry campaign. Here is the Kerry interview. Same issue, Hunter Thompson, with an exceptionally good article we wrote about last week here....

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Boston, Massachusetts Weather, 10/30/2004; 11:30:03 PM

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 Current Weather - 61F Overcast. 61F Overcast

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PressThink, 10/30/2004; 11:30:03 PM

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 The Coming Apart of An Ordered World: Bloggers Notebook, Election Eve. "About the performance of journalists in 2004 it will be asked, post-election: How good a job did the press do? But Big Journalism was in a different situation in politics and the world during this campaign. The post-mortems should be about that. Also: will the press even have this job in 08?"

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Talking Points Memo: by Joshua Micah Marshall, 10/30/2004; 11:20:01 PM

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 Normally I'd be.... Normally I'd be very skeptical of an article like this one: "Exclusive: Bush Wanted To Invade Iraq If Elected in 2000." According to the article, President Bush was mulling the political benefits of invading Iraq as long ago as 1999....

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Pacific Views, 10/30/2004; 11:00:02 PM

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 Did Dubya benefit from Osama bin Laden's re-appearance?. It looks like the Republican crowing over how bin Laden's speech on Friday was a 'gift' to Dubya's campaign were misplaced. At least, that's if swing-state voters inteviewed by the NY Times accurately represent the electorate. Voters in five states...

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Mathew Gross, 10/30/2004; 10:40:02 PM

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 Trending Kerry. Reiterating what I've been saying since Friday evening, Kirk Johnson writes in the Times: Voters, Their Minds Made Up, Say bin Laden Changes Nothing. His story is anecdotal. We'll check the tracking polls tomorrow morning, but for now the momentum...

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TalkLeft: The Politics of Crime, 10/30/2004; 10:40:01 PM

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 Freeway Blogging in Chicago. These three banners were hung Friday morning at 6:20 am over the inbound Kennedy (I-90/I-94 in Chicago.) They stayed up until 8:00 a.m. Here's my favorite: Here's what it looked like:...

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Pacific Views, 10/30/2004; 10:30:02 PM

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 Thoughts on Orwell's 1984. While remarking that Republicans don't want to be considered Orwellian, Brad DeLong provides a link to an online free copy of 1984. Rereading chapter 17, one finds some examples of why there are some eerie and unsettling comparisons of what...

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Boston, Massachusetts Weather, 10/30/2004; 10:30:01 PM

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 Current Weather - 59F Mist. 59F Mist

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Daily Kos, 10/30/2004; 10:10:02 PM

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 Polling Open Thread. Kos has summarized the tracking polls in the previous thread. I will update tomorrow as Zogby becomes available. Battleground and state polls are being released in flurries. Here are some local polls of note: New Hampshire Concord Monitor Kerry 49 (49) Bush 46 (45) Bush approve/disapprove 46/47 Iowa Des Moines Register Kerry 48 (45) Bush 45 (46) Bush approve/disapprove 45/47 Kerry leads early voters 52-41 Minnesota Star Tribune Minnesota Poll Kerry 49 (48) Bush 41 (43) Bush approve/disapprove 44/49 In addition to the local polls are the national ones, including Zogby. A Mason-Dixon poll battleground 15 state round-up can be found here at MyDD. Jerome also has encouraging VA and NV data from SUSA. For example, NV is 50-44 Bush in the M-D but 49-49 SUSA. As always, concentrate on Bush's numbers... and try to look at more than one poll if you can. Use the polling collection sites like 2.004.k to help you sort them out. More on OBL here: The Democracy Corps has a new poll, conducted Friday night and Saturday morning. While the full survey will be completed on Sunday, the half-sample of 500 interviews conducted after the release of the Bin Laden tape, show the race unchanged compared to a survey completed Thursday night. The partial survey shows Kerry at 48 percent and Bush at 47 percent. Like the survey conducted before, it shows the two parties with equal numbers of party identifiers. The Saturday respondents (250 interviews) were asked the following question: "I'm going to read you a pair of statements about the release of Bin Laden's videotape. Please tell me which one comes closer to your view. -- It makes me think that George Bush took his eye off the ball in Afghanistan and diverted resources to Iraq. -- It underscores the importance of George Bush's approach to the war on terrorism. By 10 points (46 to 36 percent), voters were more likely to think that Bush took his eye off the ball. (These results will be updated when the full survey is completed on Sunday.) We're in the home stretch. We'll all need to come up for air on Wednesday. In the meantime, you can always come here for a kindred spirit to share a tale with. Let me add my thanks to Kos as well for making it all happen.



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